Thursday, April 5, 2012

My prediction for the 2012 Red Sox

It's Opening Day, and I'm going to keep this short and sweet.  But I want to have something on record to look back at in October and see how smart I was.  With the new Wild Card system in place, three teams from one division can now make the playoffs; and that's exactly what I think is going to happen.  My guess is that Boston, New York, and Tampa will each finish with roughly 90-93 wins, and all of them will make the postseason.  The Sox play 12 of their final 21 games against the Yankees and Rays (including the final series in New York), so it definitely seems likely that everything will come down to the final days of the season.

Beyond that, I don't even want to pick who wins the A.L. East, and which two get the Wild Cards.  A fluky play here or there in the last few games may be all that makes the difference, and trying to predict that just seems silly.  And once the postseason starts, I have no idea what the Red Sox fate will be, it's completely random.  Don't believe me?  The Cardinals have won the World Series twice in the past 5 years, despite being the worst team in the playoffs both times.


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